The Bank of Canada today lowered its target for the overnight rate to 4.25%, with the Bank Rate set at 4.5% and the deposit rate at 4.25%. The Bank continues its policy of balance sheet normalization.
Globally, the economy grew by approximately 2.5% in the second quarter, in line with forecasts from the Bank's July Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Economic growth in the United States exceeded expectations, driven by consumer spending, though the labor market has slowed. Growth in the euro area was supported by tourism and services, while manufacturing lagged. Inflation in both regions is easing. In China, weak domestic demand has hindered economic growth. Since July, global financial conditions have further relaxed, with bond yields decreasing. The Canadian dollar has seen a modest appreciation, largely due to a weaker US dollar. Oil prices are lower than projected in the July MPR.
In Canada, the economy expanded by 2.1% in the second quarter, primarily due to government spending and business investment. This growth was slightly above the July forecast, though early indicators suggest weaker economic activity through June and July. The labor market remains sluggish, with minimal employment changes in recent months, although wage growth continues to outpace productivity.
As expected, inflation fell to 2.5% in July. The Bank's preferred measures of core inflation averaged around 2.5%, and the percentage of consumer price index components rising above 3% is now close to historical levels. High shelter price inflation remains the largest contributor to overall inflation but is beginning to ease. Inflation in certain services also remains elevated.
Given the ongoing reduction in inflationary pressures, the Governing Council decided to lower the policy interest rate by another 25 basis points. Excess supply in the economy continues to push inflation downward, while rising prices in shelter and some services are keeping inflation elevated. The Governing Council is closely monitoring these opposing forces. Future monetary policy decisions will be based on incoming data and their impact on inflation forecasts. The Bank remains committed to restoring price stability for Canadians.
Source:www.BankofCanada.ca
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