RSS

Bank of Canada Lowers Interest Rate to 2.75% Amid Economic Uncertainty

The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 2.75%, with the Bank Rate at 3% and the deposit rate at 2.70%.

The Canadian economy entered 2025 in a solid position, with inflation close to the 2% target and robust GDP growth. However, heightened trade tensions and tariffs imposed by the United States will likely slow the pace of economic activity and increase inflationary pressures in Canada. The economic outlook continues to be subject to more-than-usual uncertainty because of the rapidly evolving policy landscape.

After a period of solid growth, the US economy looks to have slowed in recent months. US inflation remains slightly above target. Economic growth in the euro zone was modest in late 2024. China’s economy has posted strong gains, supported by government policies. Equity prices have fallen and bond yields have eased on market expectations of weaker North American growth. Oil prices have been volatile and are trading below the assumptions in the Bank’s January Monetary Policy Report (MPR). The Canadian dollar is broadly unchanged against the US dollar but weaker against other currencies.

Canada’s economy grew by 2.6% in the fourth quarter of 2024 following upwardly revised growth of 2.2% in the third quarter. This growth path is stronger than was expected at the time of the January MPR. Past cuts to interest rates have boosted economic activity, particularly consumption and housing. However, economic growth in the first quarter of 2025 will likely slow as the intensifying trade conflict weighs on sentiment and activity. Recent surveys suggest a sharp drop in consumer confidence and a slowdown in business spending as companies postpone or cancel investments. The negative impact of slowing domestic demand has been partially offset by a surge in exports in advance of tariffs being imposed.

Employment growth strengthened in November through January and the unemployment rate declined to 6.6%. In February, job growth stalled. While past interest rate cuts have boosted demand for labour in recent months, there are warning signs that heightened trade tensions could disrupt the recovery in the jobs market. Meanwhile, wage growth has shown signs of moderation.

Inflation remains close to the 2% target. The temporary suspension of the GST/HST lowered some consumer prices, but January’s CPI was slightly firmer than expected at 1.9%. Inflation is expected to increase to about 2½% in March with the end of the tax break. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation remain above 2%, mainly because of the persistence of shelter price inflation. Short-term inflation expectations have risen in light of fears about the impact of tariffs on prices.

While economic growth has come in stronger than expected, the pervasive uncertainty created by continuously changing US tariff threats is restraining consumers’ spending intentions and businesses’ plans to hire and invest. Against this background, and with inflation close to the 2% target, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate by a further 25 basis points.

Monetary policy cannot offset the impacts of a trade war. What it can and must do is ensure that higher prices do not lead to ongoing inflation. Governing Council will be carefully assessing the timing and strength of both the downward pressures on inflation from a weaker economy and the upward pressures on inflation from higher costs. The Council will also be closely monitoring inflation expectations. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians.

Source: www.bankofcanada.ca

Read

Ottawa Real Estate: February Sales Decline as Inventory Rises and Prices Hold Steady

A total of 809 homes were sold in February 2025 through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB), marking a 10.2% decrease compared to February 2024. Home sales were 19.1% below the five-year average and 15.4% lower than the 10-year average for February.

"Ottawa’s sales activity moderated while prices held steady," says OREB President Paul Czan. "Despite increased inventory, market uncertainty continues to influence buyer and seller decisions. Some sellers who had previously delayed listing are now entering the market, contributing to more options for buyers. While demand remains strong in certain price segments, the pace of sales varies, making strategic pricing and preparation key for sellers."

Czan adds, "The Bank of Canada’s influence on borrowing power, ongoing economic factors like tariffs, and the potential impact of upcoming elections are also shaping buyer and seller sentiment. As we approach the spring market, we anticipate increased buyer activity, particularly if interest rates trend downward and confidence continues to build."

By the Numbers – Prices:

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) provides a more accurate representation of price trends compared to average or median price calculations.

  • The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price in February 2025 was $658,300, reflecting a 4.4% increase from February 2024.

    • The benchmark price for a single-family home was $719,800, rising 1.3% year-over-year.

    • In contrast, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit dropped 11.6% to $438,000.

    • The benchmark price for an apartment reached $459,300, up 4.5% from the previous year.

  • The average home price in February 2025 was $669,945, reflecting a 1.4% increase from February 2024.

  • The total dollar volume of home sales in February 2025 was $541.9 million, down 8.9% from the same period last year.

OREB advises that while the average sale price can help identify trends over time, it should not be used to determine the value of specific properties. The average price is calculated based on the total dollar volume of all sales, and price trends will differ across neighbourhoods.

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings:

  • New listings increased 4.8% from February 2024, with 1,668 new residential properties added to the market. This was 10.8% above the five-year average and 6.7% above the 10-year average for February.

  • Active residential listings at the end of February 2025 totaled 3,735 units, a 61.4% surge compared to February 2024. Active listings were 95.7% above the five-year average and 51.4% higher than the 10-year average for February.

  • Months of inventory stood at 4.6 at the end of February 2025, up from 2.6 in February 2024. This metric represents how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current pace of sales.

Source:www.oreb.ca

Read

Ottawa’s Market Heats Up with Increased Listings and Cautious Buyers

A total of 617 homes were sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) in January 2025, marking a 4.2% decline compared to January 2024.

Home sales fell 13% below the five-year average and 9.6% under the 10-year average for January.

“Ottawa’s market is seeing increased activity as more listings hit the market and buyers start to re-engage,” says OREB President Paul Czan. “Many buyers and sellers had been waiting for more conducive market conditions, but with the recent rate cut and potentially lower interest rates on the horizon, optimism is growing. While there’s more supply, the availability of suitable properties in various market segments remains tight. This is reflected in some homes selling quickly while others linger on the market. Sellers should be prepared to price competitively and present their homes in the best light to capture buyer interest in this evolving market."

“The recent Bank of Canada rate cut, introduction of U.S. tariffs, along with upcoming provincial and federal elections, introduce factors of variability,” adds Czan. “That said, confidence is growing, and more buyers are expected to return to the market in the coming months, leading to an increase in transactions.”

By the Numbers – Prices

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) provides a more precise measurement of price trends than average or median price calculations.

  • The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price stood at $649,900 in January 2025, reflecting a 5.2% increase from January 2024.

  • The benchmark price for single-family homes reached $713,000, up 2.3% year-over-year.

  • In contrast, the benchmark price for townhouse/row units declined 3.9% from the previous year to $448,000.

  • The benchmark price for apartments was $436,900, a 4.5% increase from January 2024.

  • The average sale price of homes in January 2025 was $670,258, a 5.8% rise from the previous year.

  • The total dollar volume of all home sales in January 2025 amounted to $413.5 million, reflecting a 1.3% increase compared to January 2024.

OREB advises that while the average sale price can highlight broader market trends over time, it should not be interpreted as an indicator of value changes for specific properties. The average price is derived from the total dollar volume of all sales, with prices varying across different neighbourhoods.

By the Numbers – Inventory and New Listings

  • New residential listings rose by 3.0% compared to January 2024, with 1,359 new properties hitting the market in January 2025. New listings were 14.1% above the five-year average and 9.3% higher than the 10-year average for January.

  • Active residential listings reached 3,312 units at the end of January 2025, marking a 57.3% increase from January 2024. Active listings were 90.6% higher than the five-year average and 48.9% above the 10-year average for January.

  • Months of inventory stood at 5.4 at the end of January 2025, compared to 3.3 in January 2024. This figure represents the number of months required to sell the current inventory at the existing rate of sales activity.

Thinking about buying or selling in Ottawa’s evolving market? Whether you're a buyer looking for the right opportunity or a seller wanting to position your home competitively, we're here to help you navigate the market with confidence.

Contact us today for expert advice and personalized guidance! Let's make your real estate goals a reality.

Read

Protect Yourself from Mortgage Scams

Mortgage scams are more prevalent than you might think, targeting unsuspecting individuals with promises of financial relief or better loan terms. For many Canadians, their home is their most valuable asset, making it critical to remain vigilant. Mortgage scams can come in many forms, including:

  • False promises for better mortgage terms.

  • Wire fraud during the closing process, where scammers impersonate legal professionals to redirect payments.

  • Reverse mortgage fraud, which drains home equity.

  • Loan flipping, where borrowers are pressured into repeatedly refinancing loans so lenders can collect excessive fees.

To safeguard your finances and peace of mind, consider these tips to avoid falling victim to mortgage fraud:

  • Research Lenders Thoroughly: Shop around for qualified lenders and verify their credentials on trusted sites like the Better Business Bureau.

  • Understand Affordability: Your mortgage payment should ideally range between 28-32% of your gross monthly income. Be cautious of lenders willing to exceed this threshold—it’s a red flag.

  • Never Prepay Without a Contract: Only provide payment to a lender once you have a fully executed agreement in writing.

  • Guard Personal Information: Avoid sharing sensitive details, such as banking or personal information, in response to unsolicited offers.

  • Read All Documentation Carefully: Take your time to review and understand all documents before signing anything. Consult a professional for clarity if needed.

  • Monitor Your Credit Report: Regularly check your credit report to identify unauthorized transactions early.

  • Consult Professionals: Be cautious of lenders who discourage you from seeking advice from a financial advisor, lawyer, or real estate professional.

  • Watch for High-Pressure Tactics: Legitimate lenders will never bully or rush you into a decision.

A Final Word of Caution

If an offer sounds too good to be true, it almost always is. Scammers often prey on desperation or eagerness, so keep your guard up and trust your instincts. By staying informed and cautious, you can protect your financial future from those who aim to take advantage of it.

Read

December 2024 Market Recap

A total of 613 homes were sold in December 2024 via the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB), representing a 7.9% increase from December 2023.

Despite this rise, home sales were 6.8% below the five-year average and 2.7% lower than the 10-year average for December. Year-to-date sales reached 13,526 units by December 2024, an 11.8% increase from the same period in 2023.

“A year of wait-and-see came to a close with the expected slowdown over the holiday season,” said OREB President Paul Czan. “The latter half of the year brought signs of more favourable market conditions with consecutive interest rate drops, higher insured mortgage limits, and extended amortizations. It’s early to assess the impact of these measures. And it’s an uphill battle against affordability and supply issues that persist.”

“Listing activity indicates that sellers anticipate improved conditions could spur more activity from buyers who have been keeping a close eye on the market but hesitant to make moves. Buyers are still limited in their selection of affordable inventory that can meet current demands, which stalls movement. While the improving market conditions are encouraging, the supply needs to be there. Coming political shifts are adding a layer of uncertainty but there is a trending optimism for more increased market activity in the months ahead.”

By the Numbers – Prices

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI), which tracks price trends more accurately than average or median prices, highlighted the following:

  • The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $645,800 in December 2024, up 3.8% from December 2023.

    • Single-family homes: $729,300, an increase of 3.7% year-over-year.

    • Townhouse/row units: $533,200, up 11.3% from a year ago.

    • Apartments: $404,400, down 2.5% compared to December 2023.

  • The average sale price in December 2024 was $663,781, a 4.4% increase from December 2023.

  • Year-to-date, the average price was $679,067, rising 1.3% compared to 2023.

  • The total dollar volume of home sales in December 2024 was $406.9 million, up 12.7% year-over-year. For the entire year, the total dollar volume reached $9.2 billion, an increase of 13.3% from 2023.

OREB cautions that while average sale prices offer insight into market trends over time, they do not reflect changes in the value of individual properties. Average price calculations are derived from the total dollar volume of all properties sold, with prices varying significantly by neighbourhood.

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings

  • New listings: 603 new residential properties were added in December 2024, marking a 13.6% increase from December 2023. This was 3.5% above the five-year average but 2.7% below the 10-year average for December.

  • Active listings: Residential listings totalled 3,216 units at the end of December 2024, a surge of 58.7% compared to December 2023. Active listings were 90% above the five-year average and 51.4% above the 10-year average for the month.

  • Months of inventory: There were 5.2 months of inventory at the end of December 2024, compared to 3.6 months in December 2023. This metric reflects the time it would take to sell all current inventory at the current sales pace.

Read

Canadian Housing Market 2025: Stability Returns Amid Evolving Lending Rules & Political Changes

In recent years, the Canadian housing market has experienced significant disruptions. A global pandemic, surging interest rates, and economic challenges caused the market to deviate from typical patterns. However, 2025 is anticipated to see a return to conditions more aligned with long-term historical trends.

The Royal LePage Market Survey Forecast projects that the aggregate price of a home in Canada will rise by 6.0% year-over-year, reaching $856,692 in the fourth quarter of 2025. The median price of a single-family detached home is expected to grow by 7.0% to $900,833, while condominiums are forecasted to see a 3.5% increase, reaching $605,993.

“After several years of unusual volatility in the real estate market, key indicators point to a return to stability in 2025. The backlog of willing and able buyers continues to grow, and upcoming changes to mortgage lending rules will further enhance Canadians’ borrowing power,” said Phil Soper, president and chief executive officer, Royal LePage. “Most notably, the Bank of Canada’s shift from ‘inflation fighter’ to ‘economy booster’ has taken time to influence buyer behaviour. We saw a marked increase in market activity at the start of the fourth quarter, following the Bank of Canada’s 50-basis-point rate cut. Buyers now believe home prices have hit bottom and are eager to act before competition intensifies.”

New Lending Rules to Enhance Borrowing Power

New lending regulations taking effect this month will provide improved accessibility for first-time buyers and existing homeowners. Starting December 15th, eligibility for 30-year amortizations on insured mortgages will expand to include all first-time buyers and purchasers of new construction homes, an increase from the current 25-year limit. Additionally, the mortgage insurance cap will rise from $1 million to $1.5 million, enabling buyers with less than a 20% down payment to consider higher-value properties. These changes will be especially impactful in Canada’s most expensive real estate markets, where average home prices often exceed $1 million.

“Improved lending conditions, combined with declining interest rates, will unlock new housing opportunities for many Canadians in the new year. First-time buyers will be the primary beneficiaries of these initiatives, as their ability to borrow more for less with a smaller down payment will help bring them closer to their first home purchase,” said Soper. “We believe the return of buyers to the market will encourage builders and trigger a wave of new supply, which is very much needed.

“Addressing Canada’s critical housing shortage must remain a top priority for policymakers at every level of government. With our population growing rapidly through both natural increases and immigration, it is essential to stay focused on supporting the development of new homes if we hope to address housing affordability, be it for purchase or rent.”

Shifting Political Landscapes and Potential Housing Impacts

The year 2025 is expected to bring political changes in both Canada and the United States, with potential implications for the housing market. In Canada, a federal election may introduce new housing policies that could temporarily influence market activity in the latter half of the year.

“With an election approaching in Ottawa and a new administration preparing to take office in Washington, the housing market faces potential disruptions. Here at home, a federal election will see new housing policies that may temporarily impact market activity in the second half of 2025,” said Soper. “Meanwhile, south of the border, the incoming Trump administration’s trade policies and broader economic agenda have the potential to create ripple effects for Canada’s economy and housing market. While these impacts may take time to unfold, they could eventually affect consumer confidence and market dynamics on both sides of the border.”

Highlights from the 2025 Forecast

  • Greater Montreal Area is expected to lead with aggregate home price growth of 6.5%, outpacing Greater Toronto (5.0%) and Vancouver (4.0%).

  • Quebec City is forecasted to see the largest increase among major regions, with an 11.0% rise in aggregate home prices, followed by Edmonton and Regina at 9.0%.

  • Calgary, along with Ottawa, Halifax, and Winnipeg, is projected to experience a moderate 4.0% home price increase, following significant appreciation over the last two years.

  • The median price of a condominium in the Greater Toronto Area is anticipated to decline by 1.0%, reflecting the addition of thousands of new units to an already surplus supply.

Read

Bank of Canada reduces policy rate by 50 basis points to 3.25%

The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 3¼%, with the Bank Rate at 3¾% and the deposit rate at 3¼%. The Bank is continuing its policy of balance sheet normalization.

The global economy is evolving largely as expected in the Bank’s October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). In the United States, the economy continues to show broad-based strength, with robust consumption and a solid labour market. US inflation has been holding steady, with some price pressures persisting. In the euro area, recent indicators point to weaker growth. In China, recent policy actions combined with strong exports are supporting growth, but household spending remains subdued. Global financial conditions have eased and the Canadian dollar has depreciated in the face of broad-based strength in the US dollar.

In Canada, the economy grew by 1% in the third quarter, somewhat below the Bank’s October projection, and the fourth quarter also looks weaker than projected. Third-quarter GDP growth was pulled down by business investment, inventories and exports. In contrast, consumer spending and housing activity both picked up, suggesting lower interest rates are beginning to boost household spending. Historical revisions to the National Accounts have increased the level of GDP over the past three years, largely reflecting higher investment and consumption. The unemployment rate rose to 6.8% in November as employment continued to grow more slowly than the labour force. Wage growth showed some signs of easing, but remains elevated relative to productivity.

A number of policy measures have been announced that will affect the outlook for near-term growth and inflation in Canada. Reductions in targeted immigration levels suggest GDP growth next year will be below the Bank’s October forecast. The effects on inflation will likely be more muted, given that lower immigration dampens both demand and supply. Other federal and provincial policies—including a temporary suspension of the GST on some consumer products, one-time payments to individuals, and changes to mortgage rules—will affect the dynamics of demand and inflation. The Bank will look through effects that are temporary and focus on underlying trends to guide its policy decisions.

In addition, the possibility the incoming US administration will impose new tariffs on Canadian exports to the United States has increased uncertainty and clouded the economic outlook.

CPI inflation has been about 2% since the summer, and is expected to average close to the 2% target over the next couple of years. Since October, the upward pressure on inflation from shelter and the downward pressure from goods prices have both moderated as expected. Looking ahead, the GST holiday will temporarily lower inflation but that will be unwound once the GST break ends. Measures of core inflation will help us assess the trend in CPI inflation.

With inflation around 2%, the economy in excess supply, and recent indicators tilted towards softer growth than projected, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate by a further 50 basis points to support growth and keep inflation close to the middle of the 1-3% target range. Governing Council has reduced the policy rate substantially since June. Going forward, we will be evaluating the need for further reductions in the policy rate one decision at a time. Our decisions will be guided by incoming information and our assessment of the implications for the inflation outlook. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians by keeping inflation close to the 2% target.

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is January 29, 2025.

Source: bankofcanada.ca

Read

Hidden Costs of Buying a Home in Ontario: What You Need to Know

When purchasing a home in Ontario, it’s easy to focus on the down payment and mortgage without considering other hidden costs. However, these additional expenses can add up quickly and significantly impact your budget. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer or have experience in the real estate market, it’s essential to be aware of the various costs involved in the process. Here’s a breakdown of the most common hidden costs associated with buying a home in Ontario.

1. Land Transfer Tax

One of the largest additional costs in Ontario is the land transfer tax. This tax is based on the home's purchase price and is paid to the province, and in the case of Toronto, an additional municipal tax applies.

For example, for a home priced at $700,000, the land transfer tax would be calculated as follows:

  • 0.5% on the first $55,000 = $275

  • 1.0% on the next $195,000 = $1,950

  • 1.5% on the next $400,000 = $6,000

  • 2.0% on the remaining $50,000 = $1,000
    Total provincial tax = $9,225

If you are purchasing in Toronto, there would be an additional municipal tax of $9,225, making the total land transfer tax $18,450.

First-time buyers may be eligible for a rebate, which can reduce the provincial tax by up to $4,000. Always check for rebates that may apply based on your specific situation.

2. Legal Fees

When you purchase a home, you'll need to hire a lawyer to handle title transfers, review contracts, and ensure the property is properly registered. Legal fees typically range from $1,500–$3,000, depending on the complexity of the transaction. Keep in mind that if your transaction is more complicated, for example, involving a private sale or a special agreement, the fees could be on the higher end.

3. Title Insurance

Title insurance is a one-time fee that protects you against title-related issues such as fraud, errors in the public record, or disputes over property ownership. It typically costs between $350–$600 and can offer peace of mind in case of any unforeseen issues with the property’s title.

4. Home Inspection

A home inspection is an optional but highly recommended step in the home-buying process. It allows you to assess the property’s condition and uncover potential issues that may not be immediately visible. Home inspections typically range from $300 to $750, depending on the size of the property. For larger homes, the cost can be higher.

In addition to a general home inspection, you might want to consider additional specialized inspections, such as for septic systems, wells, or mold. These inspections can cost anywhere from $300 to $1,000 or more, depending on the property’s needs.

5. Appraisal Fee

Lenders typically require an appraisal to confirm the value of the property. This is an essential step for securing your mortgage. The average cost of an appraisal in Ontario ranges from $500 to $700, and this cost is usually borne by the buyer.

6. Property Taxes Adjustment

If the seller has already paid property taxes for the year, you may need to reimburse them for the portion of taxes that applies after your closing date. For example, if the seller has prepaid $7,000 in property taxes and you close mid-year, you would owe approximately $3,500.

7. Mortgage Insurance

If your down payment is less than 20%, CMHC insurance is mandatory. This insurance protects the lender in case you default on your loan. The cost of mortgage insurance depends on your down payment amount and the size of your mortgage. For a home priced at $700,000 with a 10% down payment, this cost could be $21,168, which would be added to your mortgage principal.

8. Moving Costs

Moving costs can vary greatly depending on the distance and services you require. For a local move, professional movers may charge between $1,000 to $1,500 for a single-family home, while a DIY move with a truck rental could cost between $200 to $400. Long-distance moves or additional services, such as packing, may increase costs.

9. Utility Hookups and Adjustments

When moving into your new home, you’ll need to set up utilities such as hydro, gas, water, and internet. Utility hook-up fees in Ontario can range from $30 to $150 depending on the service provider and the specific utility. If you’re moving into a home that’s been vacant for a while, you may also need to pay for reconnection or activation services.

10. Condo Fees

If you’re purchasing a condominium, you may need to pay a prorated portion of the monthly condo fees at closing. For example, if the condo fees are $400 per month, and you close mid-month, you may owe around $200 for the rest of the month. Condo fees vary widely based on the amenities and services provided by the building.

11. HST on New Builds

Unlike resale homes, new builds in Ontario are subject to HST (13%). For a new home priced at $700,000, HST would add an additional $91,000 to the cost. However, you may be eligible for an HST rebate if your new home costs under $450,000 or if you're a first-time homebuyer. Make sure to confirm whether the HST is included in the purchase price or if it will be added on top of it.

Budgeting for a Smooth Home Buying Experience

While the down payment is often the primary focus of most homebuyers, it’s important not to overlook these hidden costs. From legal fees and property taxes to mortgage insurance and utility hook-ups, these additional expenses can quickly add up and affect your overall budget.

Planning ahead and budgeting for these costs will help ensure a smoother and more predictable home-buying experience. Consider working with a knowledgeable real estate agent or financial advisor to better understand these costs and manage your finances effectively.

Ready to buy your dream home? Take the time to research these hidden costs and set your budget accordingly—so you can move in with confidence and avoid any financial surprises along the way.

Read

Bank of Canada Cuts Interest Rates Amid Optimistic Economic Outlook

Today, the Bank of Canada lowered its target for the overnight rate to 3.75%, with the Bank Rate set at 4% and the deposit rate at 3.75%. The Bank continues its balance sheet normalization efforts.

Globally, the economy is projected to grow at a steady 3% over the next two years. Growth in the U.S. is anticipated to be stronger than previously expected, while China’s outlook remains cautious. The euro area’s growth has been sluggish but is expected to improve modestly next year. Inflation in advanced economies has decreased recently, aligning with central bank targets. Since July, global financial conditions have eased, partly due to expectations of lower policy interest rates. Additionally, global oil prices are roughly $10 lower than projected in the July Monetary Policy Report (MPR).

In Canada, economic growth was around 2% in the first half of the year, with an anticipated 1.75% growth in the second half. While overall consumption has grown, it has decreased on a per-person basis. Exports have seen a boost from the opening of the Trans Mountain Expansion pipeline. The labor market remains subdued, with the unemployment rate at 6.5% as of September. Population growth continues to expand the labor force, but hiring has been moderate, impacting young people and newcomers the most. Wage growth remains high compared to productivity growth, indicating excess supply in the economy.

Looking ahead, GDP growth is expected to strengthen gradually as lower interest rates support economic activity. A modest increase in consumer spending per capita, along with slower population growth, is expected to drive this recovery. Residential investment is projected to rise, fueled by strong housing demand, while business investment should pick up as overall demand grows. Exports are likely to stay robust, supported by strong U.S. demand.

The Bank forecasts GDP growth of 1.2% in 2024, 2.1% in 2025, and 2.3% in 2026. As the economy gains momentum, the excess supply will gradually be absorbed.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation has dropped notably from 2.7% in June to 1.6% in September. While inflation in shelter costs remains high, it has begun to ease. Excess supply in the broader economy has lowered the prices of many goods and services, and the recent drop in global oil prices has driven down gasoline costs. These factors have collectively brought inflation down. The Bank’s core inflation measures are now below 2.5%. With inflation pressures no longer widespread, expectations from businesses and consumers have largely stabilized.

The Bank anticipates that inflation will hover around its target range throughout the forecast period. The upward pressure from shelter and services costs is expected to diminish, while downward pressures should ease as the economy absorbs the current excess supply.

With inflation nearing the 2% target, the Governing Council has decided to reduce the policy rate by 50 basis points to bolster economic growth and maintain inflation around the mid-point of the 1% to 3% target range. If the economy aligns with the Bank's forecast, additional rate cuts are anticipated. However, the timing and pace of any future reductions will depend on economic data and its implications for inflation. Decisions will be made on a meeting-by-meeting basis. The Bank remains dedicated to maintaining price stability for Canadians, keeping inflation close to the 2% target.

Source: bankofcanada.ca

Read

Unlocking Homeownership: Bold New Mortgage Reforms for a New Generation

The Government of Canada has announced a series of comprehensive mortgage reforms designed to make homeownership more attainable, particularly for younger Canadians. Rising mortgage costs have long been a barrier to buying a home, especially for Millennials and Gen Z. In response, new rules were introduced on August 1, 2024, allowing 30-year insured mortgages for first-time buyers purchasing newly constructed homes.

The Honourable Chrystia Freeland, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance, announced further changes to make mortgages more affordable and homeownership more accessible. Key reforms include:

  • Raising the cap on insured mortgages from $1 million to $1.5 million starting December 15, 2024. This reflects current housing market conditions and will help more Canadians qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20% down payment.

  • Expanding eligibility for 30-year mortgage amortizations to all first-time homebuyers and buyers of new builds, effective December 15, 2024, reducing monthly payments and boosting affordability. This also aims to encourage new housing construction, addressing the ongoing housing shortage.

These reforms build on the enhanced Canadian Mortgage Charter from Budget 2024, which allows insured mortgage holders to switch lenders at renewal without undergoing another mortgage stress test. This fosters greater competition and ensures that Canadians can secure the best mortgage rates when renewing.

These changes represent the most significant mortgage reforms in decades, forming part of the government's broader plan to build nearly 4 million homes—the largest housing initiative in Canadian history. Additional regulatory updates will be introduced in the coming weeks.

In addition to making mortgages more accessible, the federal government is taking steps to protect homebuyers and renters. Today, blueprints for a Renters’ Bill of Rights and a Home Buyers’ Bill of Rights were unveiled. These new policies, developed in partnership with provinces and territories, aim to eliminate unfair practices, simplify leases, and increase transparency in the housing market. The government is also leveraging the $5 billion Canada Housing Infrastructure Fund to encourage provincial action on issues like renovictions, blind bidding, and standardized lease agreements.

Quotes
“We’ve already helped more than 750,000 Canadians save for a down payment through the Tax-Free First Home Savings Account. Now, with these bold mortgage reforms, we are making it easier for Canadians—especially younger generations—to achieve homeownership. By raising the insured mortgage cap and extending repayment terms, we are unlocking homeownership for more people and encouraging lender competition to secure better rates.”
— The Honourable Chrystia Freeland, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance

“Everyone deserves a safe, affordable home. These new mortgage measures will significantly help Canadians, especially first-time buyers, as they enter the housing market.”
— The Honourable Sean Fraser, Minister of Housing, Infrastructure, and Communities

Quick Facts

  • The enhanced Canadian Mortgage Charter ensures that Canadians facing mortgage difficulties have access to tailored relief, and supports first-time homebuyers.

  • Mortgage loan insurance enables Canadians to finance up to 95% of their home’s purchase price, helping them secure competitive interest rates with smaller down payments.

  • The government’s housing plan, the largest in Canadian history, will unlock nearly 4 million new homes to make housing more affordable.

  • The Tax-Free First Home Savings Account allows Canadians to save up to $8,000 annually and $40,000 in total, tax-free, towards a down payment.

  • The Home Buyers’ Plan limit was increased from $35,000 to $60,000 in Budget 2024, allowing first-time buyers to withdraw from their Registered Retirement Savings Plan (RRSP) to build or buy their first home. This can be combined with the Tax-Free First Home Savings Account for maximum savings.

Source: www.canada.ca

Read

Ottawa’s Real Estate Market Gathers Momentum in July 2024

The Ottawa real estate market showed signs of growth in July 2024, with 1,241 homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB). This represents a 13.6% increase compared to July 2023.

However, home sales were still 7.1% below the five-year average and 8.8% below the 10-year average for July. Despite this, year-to-date sales figures were encouraging, with 8,349 units sold by July 2024, marking a 5.5% increase from the same period in 2023.

The market’s performance is a positive signal amidst the usual summer slowdown, reflecting growing buyer confidence and a steady stream of new listings. Recent policy changes, including interest rate cuts and extended mortgage amortization periods for first-time buyers, could further support the market, though supply challenges remain.

Price Trends

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) provides a detailed view of price trends:

The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price in July 2024 was $648,900, up slightly by 0.1% from July 2023.

Single-family homes had a benchmark price of $734,700, down 0.1% year-over-year.

Townhouse/row units saw a benchmark price of $506,100, an increase of 3.4% compared to last year.

The benchmark price for apartments was $422,800, a decrease of 0.9% from July 2023 levels.

The average price of homes sold in July 2024 stood at $679,610, reflecting a 2.1% decrease from July 2023. The year-to-date average price, however, showed a slight increase of 1.0%, reaching $681,082. The total dollar volume of home sales in July 2024 was $843.3 million, an 11.3% increase from July 2023.

Inventory and New Listings

New residential listings in July 2024 increased by 17.1% from the previous year, totaling 2,231 new listings. Active residential listings at the end of July 2024 numbered 3,480 units, a substantial 37.0% increase from July 2023. The months of inventory, which indicates how long it would take to sell current listings at the current sales pace, rose to 2.8 months, up from 2.3 months in July 2023.

These statistics reflect a market that is gaining momentum, with increasing buyer activity and a growing inventory, although challenges around supply and affordability persist.

Source: Ottawa Real Estate Board

Read

Uncovering the Hidden Costs of Home Buying: Essential Financial Tips for Your Next Move

Do you often find yourself browsing listings and dreaming about your next move? If so, it’s essential to look beyond listing prices and down payments. Whether you're looking to upgrade or make your first investment, it's crucial to consider various financial aspects before buying a home. Here are some key expenses to factor into your decision:

Utilities

Upgrading to a larger home or one with older, less efficient appliances can significantly impact your utility costs. It's important to estimate these additional expenses accurately. Consider the size of the home, the age and efficiency of the heating, cooling, and water systems, and any additional appliances that might come with the property. Add these estimated costs to your current monthly budget to see how a move might affect your overall spending. Doing this will help you avoid any surprises when your first utility bill arrives after the move.

Mortgage Penalty

Breaking your current mortgage term early might come with a penalty, which is usually around three months' worth of interest. However, this amount can vary depending on your lender and the terms of your mortgage. It's crucial to read the fine print of your mortgage agreement and understand the penalties for early repayment or refinancing. In some cases, negotiating with your lender for a lower penalty or even exploring the possibility of porting your mortgage to the new property might be beneficial. Always consult with your financial advisor to understand the best course of action.

Moving Costs

Moving is never just about transporting your belongings from one place to another. There are numerous additional expenses to consider. If you plan to hire professional movers, get quotes from multiple companies and check for any hidden fees, such as charges for moving large items or extra insurance. If you opt for a DIY move, factor in the cost of renting a moving truck, fuel, and possibly temporary storage. Don’t forget smaller costs like packing materials or even throwing a pizza party to thank friends who help you move. If your schedule allows, consider moving during the off-peak season when costs tend to be lower.

Legal Fees

Hiring a trusted real estate lawyer is essential to ensure that all the legal aspects of your home purchase are handled correctly. Legal fees can vary widely, so it’s important to understand what services are included in the fee structure. These services typically include reviewing the purchase agreement, conducting a title search, handling the transfer of funds, and registering the new property with the local land registry office. Always get a detailed breakdown of the estimated costs and confirm these with your lawyer before you sign any offers. This will help you avoid any unexpected charges at closing.

Additional Considerations

Beyond these primary expenses, there are other costs to consider when buying a home. These might include home inspection fees, property taxes, insurance, and potential renovations or repairs needed immediately after purchase. A thorough home inspection can reveal issues that might not be apparent during a regular viewing and can give you leverage in negotiating the purchase price or requesting repairs before closing.

By carefully considering all these financial aspects, you can make a well-informed decision and ensure that your dream move doesn't turn into a financial nightmare. Planning ahead and budgeting for these expenses will help you transition smoothly into your new home and enjoy it from day one.

Ready to dive deeper into the home-buying process? Visit our latest blog for comprehensive tips and insights to guide you every step of the way. Contact us to ensure you're well-prepared for a successful move by uncovering all potential hidden costs!

Read
This website may only be used by consumers that have a bona fide interest in the purchase, sale, or lease of real estate of the type being offered via the website. The data relating to real estate on this website comes in part from the MLS® Reciprocity program of the PropTx MLS®. The data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed to be accurate.