The Bank of Canada has held its target overnight rate steady at 2.75%, with the Bank Rate set at 3.00% and the deposit rate at 2.70%.

Since the April Monetary Policy Report, the United States has continued to adjust various tariffs, with both the U.S. and China stepping back from earlier aggressive trade measures. Bilateral trade negotiations have resumed with several countries, but outcomes remain highly uncertain. “Tariff rates are well above their levels at the beginning of 2025, and new trade actions are still being threatened. Uncertainty remains high.”

The global economy has shown some resilience, though this is partially due to businesses advancing activity in anticipation of future tariffs. In the U.S., consumer demand stayed solid, though a rise in imports caused a dip in Q1 GDP. Inflation has edged down but still sits above 2%, and the full impact of tariffs on prices has not yet been realized. In Europe, growth has been export-driven, and defence spending is on the rise. China, meanwhile, is experiencing a slowdown as earlier fiscal measures wear off, and its exports to the U.S. are being hindered by steep tariffs. Following April’s market volatility, most risk assets have rebounded and volatility has calmed—though markets remain sensitive to U.S. policy changes. Oil prices have varied but are relatively stable compared to April levels.

In Canada, Q1 GDP growth reached 2.2%, slightly exceeding the Bank’s forecast. The main drivers were advanced exports to the U.S. and higher inventories, though final domestic demand remained flat. Stronger-than-expected spending on machinery and equipment supported business investment. Consumer spending slowed from Q4 but remained positive, even amid a steep drop in confidence. Housing activity declined, primarily due to a significant drop in resale transactions. Government spending also decreased. The labour market has weakened, particularly in trade-reliant industries, with the unemployment rate now at 6.9%. Looking ahead, economic momentum is expected to slow further in Q2 as earlier gains from exports and inventories fade, and domestic demand stays weak.

CPI inflation eased to 1.7% in April, largely due to the removal of the federal carbon tax, which reduced overall inflation by 0.6 percentage points. “Excluding taxes, inflation rose 2.3% in April, slightly stronger than the Bank had expected.” Key measures of core and underlying inflation also ticked higher. Surveys show that many households expect tariffs to push prices up, and a growing number of businesses intend to pass those costs along. “The Bank will be watching all these indicators closely to gauge how inflationary pressures are evolving.”

Given the ongoing uncertainty around U.S. trade policy, a soft but not sharply declining Canadian economy, and stronger-than-expected inflation data, “Governing Council decided to hold the policy rate as we gain more information on US trade policy and its impacts. We will continue to assess the timing and strength of both the downward pressures on inflation from a weaker economy and the upward pressures on inflation from higher costs.”

“Governing Council is proceeding carefully, with particular attention to the risks and uncertainties facing the Canadian economy.” These risks include how U.S. tariffs impact demand for Canadian exports, the potential ripple effects on business investment, employment, and household spending, and how quickly businesses pass rising costs on to consumers. Inflation expectations will also remain under scrutiny.

“We are focused on ensuring that Canadians continue to have confidence in price stability through this period of global upheaval. We will support economic growth while ensuring inflation remains well controlled.”

The spring market is gaining momentum in Ottawa, with notable shifts in both buyer and seller behaviour. According to the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB), a total of 1,306 homes were sold through the MLS® System in April 2025. While this represents a significant 18.4% increase over March 2025, it also marks an 11.2% decline compared to April 2024.

Sales activity for the month came in 17.6% below the five-year average and 16.2% below the 10-year average, indicating a slower pace when viewed from a longer-term perspective.

“While April sales were down year-over-year, we saw a healthy month-over-month increase—an encouraging sign of growing momentum as we move through the spring market,” says OREB President Paul Czan. “Inventory remains at higher levels compared to previous years, indicating a gradual move towards a balanced market.”

As market conditions shift, both buyers and sellers are adjusting their strategies.

“With more certainty following the federal election, buyers are returning with greater confidence—but they're proceeding cautiously, taking their time, including conditions in their offers, and being more selective,” adds Czan. “Sellers, meanwhile, are adjusting to longer days on market, which makes strategic pricing and thoughtful home preparation more important than ever. If the listing is priced well, shows well, it's moving—and in some cases, it’s even getting multiple offers. Looking ahead, we’ll be watching how the federal government’s recent housing commitments translate into action. Policies aimed at increasing supply, improving affordability, and supporting first-time buyers are welcome steps toward meaningful impact here in Ottawa.”

By the Numbers – Prices

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) provides a more accurate reflection of market trends than traditional average or median price measurements.

• The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $631,200 in April 2025 — a 1.1% increase from April 2024.

• The benchmark price for single-family homes reached $703,200, rising 1.0% year-over-year.

• Townhouses/row units saw a more notable price gain, with a benchmark of $440,000, up 4.4% compared to April 2024.

• Apartment-style properties experienced a decline, with the benchmark price at $404,000, down 2.8% from the previous year.

Meanwhile, the average sale price across all property types in April 2025 stood at $707,180, reflecting a modest 0.4% increase compared to April 2024. The total dollar volume of home sales amounted to $923.5 million, which represents a 10.8% decline year-over-year.

By the Numbers – Inventory and New Listings

Market supply continued to expand in April, offering more options for prospective buyers.

• New listings totalled 2,589 residential properties, a 3.8% decrease compared to April 2024. However, this figure remains 2.8% above the five-year average and 5.6% above the 10-year average for April.

• Active listings reached 4,878 units by the end of the month, a surge of 54.2% over last year. Inventory levels were 86.9% higher than the five-year average and 51.3% above the 10-year average.

• The months of inventory—which measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace—stood at 3.7, up from 2.2 months in April 2024.

As Ottawa’s real estate market continues its transition toward more balanced conditions, buyers and sellers alike will benefit from working closely with knowledgeable REALTORS® who can help navigate pricing strategies, property preparation, and offer negotiations.

Stay tuned for more insights as we monitor how upcoming policy implementations and evolving market dynamics shape the remainder of the 2025 real estate landscape.

Source:OREB.ca

In its latest interest rate announcement, the Bank of Canada has chosen to hold the overnight rate steady at 2.75%, with the Bank Rate set at 3.00% and the deposit rate at 2.70%.

This decision comes amid significant shifts in U.S. trade policy and growing uncertainty surrounding tariffs, which have collectively dampened global and domestic economic growth prospects while increasing inflation expectations. The April Monetary Policy Report (MPR) addresses this uncertainty by outlining two possible scenarios for U.S. trade policy moving forward.

• In the first scenario, trade uncertainty remains high but tariffs are limited in scope. Under these conditions, Canadian economic growth is expected to weaken temporarily, while inflation holds close to the 2% target.

• In the second scenario, a prolonged trade war drives the Canadian economy into recession this year, with inflation projected to rise temporarily above 3% in 2026.

The Bank notes that various trade policy outcomes are possible, and the level of uncertainty—both in terms of potential scenarios and their outcomes—is unusually high due to the rapid and unprecedented shifts in U.S. trade policy.

Globally, economic growth was solid at the end of 2024, and inflation had been easing towards central bank targets. However, rising trade tensions have since weighed heavily on the outlook. In the United States, signs of economic slowing have emerged amid elevated policy uncertainty and declining market sentiment. Inflation expectations have also risen. Meanwhile, euro area growth has been modest in early 2025, particularly impacted by a sluggish manufacturing sector. In China, the economy ended 2024 strong but has shown signs of slowing more recently.

Financial markets have experienced significant volatility due to ongoing tariff announcements, delays, and persistent threats of escalation. This turbulence has only added to existing uncertainty. Since January, oil prices have dropped significantly, driven largely by downgraded global growth expectations. The Canadian dollar has appreciated recently, primarily due to a broader weakening of the U.S. dollar.

Domestically, Canada’s economy is also feeling the impact. Tariff-related uncertainty has eroded both consumer and business confidence, contributing to weakness in consumer spending, residential investment, and business capital expenditures in the first quarter. The labour market recovery has also been disrupted, with a reported decline in employment in March and indications from businesses that hiring will slow. Wage growth is showing continued signs of moderation.

Inflation measured at 2.3% in March, slightly lower than February, but still up from 1.8% in January. This increase is largely attributed to a rebound in goods prices and the conclusion of the temporary GST/HST suspension. Looking ahead, the removal of the consumer carbon tax in April is expected to suppress CPI inflation over the next year. Additionally, lower global oil prices will exert downward pressure on inflation. However, tariffs and supply chain disruptions could push certain prices higher. The extent of this impact will depend on how tariffs evolve and how quickly businesses pass increased costs onto consumers. While short-term inflation expectations have risen, long-term expectations remain relatively unchanged.

The Bank’s Governing Council will continue to evaluate both the downward pressures on inflation arising from a slowing economy and the upward pressures caused by higher input costs. The primary focus remains on maintaining price stability and ensuring Canadians retain confidence in the central bank’s ability to manage inflation.

As we navigate this period of heightened global volatility, the Bank of Canada is proceeding cautiously, paying close attention to a range of economic risks. These include:

• The potential reduction in demand for Canadian exports due to higher tariffs,

• The possible knock-on effects on business investment, employment, and household spending,

• The speed and extent to which businesses pass increased costs to consumers, and

• The evolution of inflation expectations.

While monetary policy cannot directly resolve trade uncertainty, it plays a crucial role in safeguarding price stability and supporting economic resilience during challenging times.

Source: bankofcanada.ca

If you're nearing retirement or have already stepped into this exciting new chapter of life, you may be considering downsizing. Moving to a smaller home, a condo, or a retirement community can help simplify your lifestyle, reduce financial stress, and allow you to focus on the things you love—whether that’s travel, hobbies, or spending more time with family.

So, how do you know if it’s time to downsize? Here are some key signs to look out for:

1. Your Home Is Becoming a Safety Concern

If you're experiencing frequent falls or find it challenging to navigate stairs, your current home may no longer be the best fit. A single-storey home, condo with an elevator, or a retirement community designed with accessibility in mind could provide a safer and more comfortable living environment.

2. Home Maintenance Feels Overwhelming

Keeping up with yard work, snow removal, and ongoing repairs can be exhausting—especially if you're spending more time and money on maintenance than enjoying your home. Downsizing to a smaller, more manageable space can relieve this burden and give you more freedom.

3. Housing Costs Are Becoming a Financial Strain

If your monthly housing costs exceed 30% of your income, it might be time to explore more affordable options. Downsizing can free up finances, lower your monthly expenses, and provide more flexibility to enjoy your retirement.

4. You Want to Access Your Home Equity

If you've built up significant equity in your home, downsizing can unlock those funds for travel, leisure, or even helping family members with major life expenses. Selling your current home could allow you to live more comfortably without worrying about financial constraints.

5. Your Home No Longer Fits Your Needs

Maybe you have extra rooms that sit empty or a large backyard you no longer use. If your home no longer suits your lifestyle, it may be time to consider a space that better aligns with your current needs.

6. You Feel Disconnected from Your Neighbourhood

Has your neighbourhood changed over the years? Perhaps long-time neighbours have moved, or the community no longer feels like the right fit. If you're longing for a stronger sense of belonging, a move to a retirement-friendly area or a community with shared amenities could be a great option.

7. You Want to Be Closer to Loved Ones

If your family has relocated and you’re feeling the distance, downsizing could be an opportunity to move closer to them. Being near loved ones can bring peace of mind and make family gatherings more convenient and frequent.

Embracing New Possibilities

Letting go of a home filled with memories is never easy, but downsizing isn’t about giving up—it’s about creating space for new experiences and opportunities. Whether it’s a move to a more accessible home, a vibrant retirement community, or a peaceful downsized retreat, this transition can open the door to a more fulfilling and stress-free lifestyle.

If you’re considering downsizing but aren’t sure where to start, we’re here to help. Our experience can guide you through every step of the process, from evaluating your home’s value to finding the perfect new space that fits your needs.

Check out our Downsizing Guide for more information. 

The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 2.75%, with the Bank Rate at 3% and the deposit rate at 2.70%.

The Canadian economy entered 2025 in a solid position, with inflation close to the 2% target and robust GDP growth. However, heightened trade tensions and tariffs imposed by the United States will likely slow the pace of economic activity and increase inflationary pressures in Canada. The economic outlook continues to be subject to more-than-usual uncertainty because of the rapidly evolving policy landscape.

After a period of solid growth, the US economy looks to have slowed in recent months. US inflation remains slightly above target. Economic growth in the euro zone was modest in late 2024. China’s economy has posted strong gains, supported by government policies. Equity prices have fallen and bond yields have eased on market expectations of weaker North American growth. Oil prices have been volatile and are trading below the assumptions in the Bank’s January Monetary Policy Report (MPR). The Canadian dollar is broadly unchanged against the US dollar but weaker against other currencies.

Canada’s economy grew by 2.6% in the fourth quarter of 2024 following upwardly revised growth of 2.2% in the third quarter. This growth path is stronger than was expected at the time of the January MPR. Past cuts to interest rates have boosted economic activity, particularly consumption and housing. However, economic growth in the first quarter of 2025 will likely slow as the intensifying trade conflict weighs on sentiment and activity. Recent surveys suggest a sharp drop in consumer confidence and a slowdown in business spending as companies postpone or cancel investments. The negative impact of slowing domestic demand has been partially offset by a surge in exports in advance of tariffs being imposed.

Employment growth strengthened in November through January and the unemployment rate declined to 6.6%. In February, job growth stalled. While past interest rate cuts have boosted demand for labour in recent months, there are warning signs that heightened trade tensions could disrupt the recovery in the jobs market. Meanwhile, wage growth has shown signs of moderation.

Inflation remains close to the 2% target. The temporary suspension of the GST/HST lowered some consumer prices, but January’s CPI was slightly firmer than expected at 1.9%. Inflation is expected to increase to about 2½% in March with the end of the tax break. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation remain above 2%, mainly because of the persistence of shelter price inflation. Short-term inflation expectations have risen in light of fears about the impact of tariffs on prices.

While economic growth has come in stronger than expected, the pervasive uncertainty created by continuously changing US tariff threats is restraining consumers’ spending intentions and businesses’ plans to hire and invest. Against this background, and with inflation close to the 2% target, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate by a further 25 basis points.

Monetary policy cannot offset the impacts of a trade war. What it can and must do is ensure that higher prices do not lead to ongoing inflation. Governing Council will be carefully assessing the timing and strength of both the downward pressures on inflation from a weaker economy and the upward pressures on inflation from higher costs. The Council will also be closely monitoring inflation expectations. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians.

Source: www.bankofcanada.ca

A total of 809 homes were sold in February 2025 through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB), marking a 10.2% decrease compared to February 2024. Home sales were 19.1% below the five-year average and 15.4% lower than the 10-year average for February.

"Ottawa’s sales activity moderated while prices held steady," says OREB President Paul Czan. "Despite increased inventory, market uncertainty continues to influence buyer and seller decisions. Some sellers who had previously delayed listing are now entering the market, contributing to more options for buyers. While demand remains strong in certain price segments, the pace of sales varies, making strategic pricing and preparation key for sellers."

Czan adds, "The Bank of Canada’s influence on borrowing power, ongoing economic factors like tariffs, and the potential impact of upcoming elections are also shaping buyer and seller sentiment. As we approach the spring market, we anticipate increased buyer activity, particularly if interest rates trend downward and confidence continues to build."

By the Numbers – Prices:

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) provides a more accurate representation of price trends compared to average or median price calculations.

• The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price in February 2025 was $658,300, reflecting a 4.4% increase from February 2024.

  • The benchmark price for a single-family home was $719,800, rising 1.3% year-over-year.

  • In contrast, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit dropped 11.6% to $438,000.

  • The benchmark price for an apartment reached $459,300, up 4.5% from the previous year.

• The average home price in February 2025 was $669,945, reflecting a 1.4% increase from February 2024.

• The total dollar volume of home sales in February 2025 was $541.9 million, down 8.9% from the same period last year.

OREB advises that while the average sale price can help identify trends over time, it should not be used to determine the value of specific properties. The average price is calculated based on the total dollar volume of all sales, and price trends will differ across neighbourhoods.

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings:

• New listings increased 4.8% from February 2024, with 1,668 new residential properties added to the market. This was 10.8% above the five-year average and 6.7% above the 10-year average for February.

• Active residential listings at the end of February 2025 totaled 3,735 units, a 61.4% surge compared to February 2024. Active listings were 95.7% above the five-year average and 51.4% higher than the 10-year average for February.

• Months of inventory stood at 4.6 at the end of February 2025, up from 2.6 in February 2024. This metric represents how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current pace of sales.

Source:www.oreb.ca

A total of 617 homes were sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) in January 2025, marking a 4.2% decline compared to January 2024.

Home sales fell 13% below the five-year average and 9.6% under the 10-year average for January.

“Ottawa’s market is seeing increased activity as more listings hit the market and buyers start to re-engage,” says OREB President Paul Czan. “Many buyers and sellers had been waiting for more conducive market conditions, but with the recent rate cut and potentially lower interest rates on the horizon, optimism is growing. While there’s more supply, the availability of suitable properties in various market segments remains tight. This is reflected in some homes selling quickly while others linger on the market. Sellers should be prepared to price competitively and present their homes in the best light to capture buyer interest in this evolving market."

“The recent Bank of Canada rate cut, introduction of U.S. tariffs, along with upcoming provincial and federal elections, introduce factors of variability,” adds Czan. “That said, confidence is growing, and more buyers are expected to return to the market in the coming months, leading to an increase in transactions.”

By the Numbers – Prices

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) provides a more precise measurement of price trends than average or median price calculations.

• The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price stood at $649,900 in January 2025, reflecting a 5.2% increase from January 2024.

• The benchmark price for single-family homes reached $713,000, up 2.3% year-over-year.

• In contrast, the benchmark price for townhouse/row units declined 3.9% from the previous year to $448,000.

• The benchmark price for apartments was $436,900, a 4.5% increase from January 2024.

• The average sale price of homes in January 2025 was $670,258, a 5.8% rise from the previous year.

• The total dollar volume of all home sales in January 2025 amounted to $413.5 million, reflecting a 1.3% increase compared to January 2024.

OREB advises that while the average sale price can highlight broader market trends over time, it should not be interpreted as an indicator of value changes for specific properties. The average price is derived from the total dollar volume of all sales, with prices varying across different neighbourhoods.

By the Numbers – Inventory and New Listings

• New residential listings rose by 3.0% compared to January 2024, with 1,359 new properties hitting the market in January 2025. New listings were 14.1% above the five-year average and 9.3% higher than the 10-year average for January.

• Active residential listings reached 3,312 units at the end of January 2025, marking a 57.3% increase from January 2024. Active listings were 90.6% higher than the five-year average and 48.9% above the 10-year average for January.

• Months of inventory stood at 5.4 at the end of January 2025, compared to 3.3 in January 2024. This figure represents the number of months required to sell the current inventory at the existing rate of sales activity.

Thinking about buying or selling in Ottawa’s evolving market? Whether you're a buyer looking for the right opportunity or a seller wanting to position your home competitively, we're here to help you navigate the market with confidence.

Contact us today for expert advice and personalized guidance! Let's make your real estate goals a reality.

When it comes to selling your home, first impressions are everything—and bathrooms are no exception. A tired, outdated bathroom can quickly turn potential buyers off, leaving them with a negative overall impression of your home. The good news? You don’t need to spend a fortune on a full renovation to make a bathroom shine. With a few simple updates, you can create a fresh, modern space that will impress buyers and boost your home's appeal.

Here are some budget-friendly ways to refresh your bathroom:

1. Update Hardware for Instant Modernization

One of the quickest ways to transform the look of a bathroom is by swapping out outdated cabinet knobs, drawer pulls, and faucets. Sleek metallic finishes, such as brushed nickel or matte black, are incredibly popular and easy to install. These small changes can make a big difference in modernizing your space.

2. Give Grout and Caulking a Refresh

Over time, grout can discolour, and caulking around your tub or sink may start to peel. These issues are often overlooked, but a quick clean and touch-up can restore the bathroom’s appearance. A fresh layer of caulking and properly cleaned grout will give the impression of a well-maintained, freshly updated bathroom.

3. Revamp Lighting for a Welcoming Glow

Lighting plays a critical role in setting the tone of any room, and your bathroom is no different. Swap out old, dated light fixtures for more modern ones. If you’re not ready to rewire, simply upgrading your bulbs to bright, energy-efficient options can create a warm and inviting atmosphere—perfect for buyers.

4. Refresh Your Shower Curtain and Bath Mats

Replacing worn-out shower curtains and bathmats is an affordable and easy way to give your bathroom a quick makeover. Opt for light-coloured or clear shower curtains to make the space feel larger and brighter. Fresh, neutral bathmats will tie the space together while adding a touch of comfort.

5. Accessorize for Style and Simplicity

Sometimes, all a bathroom needs is a few well-placed accessories. Consider investing in a new soap dish, toothbrush holder, or a stylish tray for your toiletries. Fresh, white towels can elevate the space without overwhelming it, and a couple of decorative touches like potted plants will bring in life and colour.

6. Frame Your Mirror for Extra Charm

If your mirror looks plain or has signs of wear, consider adding a simple frame. A wooden frame—stained or painted to match your bathroom's colour scheme—can instantly add character and complete the look of the space. This small update can make a world of difference in creating a polished, welcoming atmosphere.

Selling your home doesn’t have to mean spending a fortune on expensive renovations. Simple, affordable updates to your bathroom can have a huge impact, improving both its appearance and overall appeal. A little creativity and attention to detail can go a long way in making your bathroom a space that potential buyers will remember.

The Bank of Canada has announced a reduction in its target for the overnight rate to 3%, with the Bank Rate set at 3.25% and the deposit rate at 2.95%. Additionally, the Bank has outlined its plan to finalize the normalization of its balance sheet by ending quantitative tightening. Asset purchases will resume in early March, with a gradual approach to ensure the balance sheet stabilizes before experiencing modest growth in line with economic expansion.

The January Monetary Policy Report (MPR) highlights an increased level of uncertainty in its projections due to the rapidly shifting policy landscape, particularly regarding potential trade tariffs from the new U.S. administration. Because the extent and duration of a possible trade conflict remain uncertain, the report presents a baseline forecast that assumes no new tariffs.

According to the MPR, the global economy is projected to maintain growth at approximately 3% over the next two years. U.S. economic growth has been revised upward, primarily due to stronger consumer spending. In contrast, growth in the eurozone is expected to remain sluggish due to competitiveness challenges. In China, recent policy measures are supporting short-term demand and economic expansion, though structural challenges persist.

Since October, financial conditions have diverged internationally. U.S. bond yields have risen, driven by solid economic growth and persistent inflation. Meanwhile, Canadian bond yields have declined slightly. The Canadian dollar has weakened significantly against the U.S. dollar, largely due to trade uncertainty and overall strength in the U.S. currency. Oil prices have been volatile, rising by about $5 above the levels anticipated in the October MPR.

In Canada, previous interest rate cuts have already started stimulating the economy, and the momentum in consumption and housing activity is expected to continue. However, business investment remains weak, while exports are benefiting from expanded oil and gas export capacity.

The labour market remains soft, with the unemployment rate at 6.7% as of December. While job growth has improved in recent months, it had previously lagged behind labour force expansion for over a year. Wage pressures, which had been persistently high, are now showing early signs of easing.

The Bank anticipates that GDP growth will strengthen in 2025. However, given reduced immigration targets, both actual GDP growth and potential growth are expected to be more moderate than previous forecasts in October. Following an anticipated GDP growth rate of 1.3% in 2024, the Bank now projects GDP growth of 1.8% in both 2025 and 2026—a rate that slightly exceeds potential growth. Consequently, excess supply in the economy is projected to diminish gradually over time.

Inflation remains close to 2%, though fluctuations are occurring due to the temporary suspension of the GST/HST on certain consumer goods. While shelter price inflation remains high, it is gradually declining as anticipated. Various economic indicators, including inflation expectation surveys and price change trends within the CPI, suggest that underlying inflation is stabilizing around 2%. The Bank projects that CPI inflation will remain near its 2% target over the next two years.

Excluding potential U.S. trade tariffs, the economic outlook maintains a relatively balanced level of risks. However, the MPR warns that a prolonged trade dispute could result in lower GDP growth and higher consumer prices in Canada.

Given inflation stabilizing around 2% and an economy operating with excess supply, the Governing Council has decided to cut the policy rate by another 25 basis points to 3%. Since last June, the cumulative rate cuts have been significant. Lower interest rates are already stimulating household spending, and based on today's projections, the economy is expected to gradually strengthen while inflation remains stable. However, if significant trade tariffs were to be implemented, Canada's economic resilience would be put to the test.

The Bank will closely monitor economic developments and assess their impact on inflation and monetary policy. It remains dedicated to maintaining price stability for Canadians.

With the Bank of Canada lowering its policy rate to 3%, now is the time to assess your real estate plans. Whether you're buying, selling, or refinancing, lower rates could open new opportunities. Let’s discuss how this impacts your goals—contact us today!

Mortgage scams are more prevalent than you might think, targeting unsuspecting individuals with promises of financial relief or better loan terms. For many Canadians, their home is their most valuable asset, making it critical to remain vigilant. Mortgage scams can come in many forms, including:

• False promises for better mortgage terms.

• Wire fraud during the closing process, where scammers impersonate legal professionals to redirect payments.

• Reverse mortgage fraud, which drains home equity.

• Loan flipping, where borrowers are pressured into repeatedly refinancing loans so lenders can collect excessive fees.

To safeguard your finances and peace of mind, consider these tips to avoid falling victim to mortgage fraud:

• Research Lenders Thoroughly: Shop around for qualified lenders and verify their credentials on trusted sites like the Better Business Bureau.

• Understand Affordability: Your mortgage payment should ideally range between 28-32% of your gross monthly income. Be cautious of lenders willing to exceed this threshold—it’s a red flag.

• Never Prepay Without a Contract: Only provide payment to a lender once you have a fully executed agreement in writing.

• Guard Personal Information: Avoid sharing sensitive details, such as banking or personal information, in response to unsolicited offers.

• Read All Documentation Carefully: Take your time to review and understand all documents before signing anything. Consult a professional for clarity if needed.

• Monitor Your Credit Report: Regularly check your credit report to identify unauthorized transactions early.

• Consult Professionals: Be cautious of lenders who discourage you from seeking advice from a financial advisor, lawyer, or real estate professional.

• Watch for High-Pressure Tactics: Legitimate lenders will never bully or rush you into a decision.

A Final Word of Caution

If an offer sounds too good to be true, it almost always is. Scammers often prey on desperation or eagerness, so keep your guard up and trust your instincts. By staying informed and cautious, you can protect your financial future from those who aim to take advantage of it.

A total of 613 homes were sold in December 2024 via the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB), representing a 7.9% increase from December 2023.

Despite this rise, home sales were 6.8% below the five-year average and 2.7% lower than the 10-year average for December. Year-to-date sales reached 13,526 units by December 2024, an 11.8% increase from the same period in 2023.

“A year of wait-and-see came to a close with the expected slowdown over the holiday season,” said OREB President Paul Czan. “The latter half of the year brought signs of more favourable market conditions with consecutive interest rate drops, higher insured mortgage limits, and extended amortizations. It’s early to assess the impact of these measures. And it’s an uphill battle against affordability and supply issues that persist.”

“Listing activity indicates that sellers anticipate improved conditions could spur more activity from buyers who have been keeping a close eye on the market but hesitant to make moves. Buyers are still limited in their selection of affordable inventory that can meet current demands, which stalls movement. While the improving market conditions are encouraging, the supply needs to be there. Coming political shifts are adding a layer of uncertainty but there is a trending optimism for more increased market activity in the months ahead.”

By the Numbers – Prices

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI), which tracks price trends more accurately than average or median prices, highlighted the following:

• The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $645,800 in December 2024, up 3.8% from December 2023.

  • Single-family homes: $729,300, an increase of 3.7% year-over-year.

  • Townhouse/row units: $533,200, up 11.3% from a year ago.

  • Apartments: $404,400, down 2.5% compared to December 2023.

• The average sale price in December 2024 was $663,781, a 4.4% increase from December 2023.

• Year-to-date, the average price was $679,067, rising 1.3% compared to 2023.

• The total dollar volume of home sales in December 2024 was $406.9 million, up 12.7% year-over-year. For the entire year, the total dollar volume reached $9.2 billion, an increase of 13.3% from 2023.

OREB cautions that while average sale prices offer insight into market trends over time, they do not reflect changes in the value of individual properties. Average price calculations are derived from the total dollar volume of all properties sold, with prices varying significantly by neighbourhood.

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings

• New listings: 603 new residential properties were added in December 2024, marking a 13.6% increase from December 2023. This was 3.5% above the five-year average but 2.7% below the 10-year average for December.

• Active listings: Residential listings totalled 3,216 units at the end of December 2024, a surge of 58.7% compared to December 2023. Active listings were 90% above the five-year average and 51.4% above the 10-year average for the month.

• Months of inventory: There were 5.2 months of inventory at the end of December 2024, compared to 3.6 months in December 2023. This metric reflects the time it would take to sell all current inventory at the current sales pace.

In recent years, the Canadian housing market has experienced significant disruptions. A global pandemic, surging interest rates, and economic challenges caused the market to deviate from typical patterns. However, 2025 is anticipated to see a return to conditions more aligned with long-term historical trends.

The Royal LePage Market Survey Forecast projects that the aggregate price of a home in Canada will rise by 6.0% year-over-year, reaching $856,692 in the fourth quarter of 2025. The median price of a single-family detached home is expected to grow by 7.0% to $900,833, while condominiums are forecasted to see a 3.5% increase, reaching $605,993.

“After several years of unusual volatility in the real estate market, key indicators point to a return to stability in 2025. The backlog of willing and able buyers continues to grow, and upcoming changes to mortgage lending rules will further enhance Canadians’ borrowing power,” said Phil Soper, president and chief executive officer, Royal LePage. “Most notably, the Bank of Canada’s shift from ‘inflation fighter’ to ‘economy booster’ has taken time to influence buyer behaviour. We saw a marked increase in market activity at the start of the fourth quarter, following the Bank of Canada’s 50-basis-point rate cut. Buyers now believe home prices have hit bottom and are eager to act before competition intensifies.”

New Lending Rules to Enhance Borrowing Power

New lending regulations taking effect this month will provide improved accessibility for first-time buyers and existing homeowners. Starting December 15th, eligibility for 30-year amortizations on insured mortgages will expand to include all first-time buyers and purchasers of new construction homes, an increase from the current 25-year limit. Additionally, the mortgage insurance cap will rise from $1 million to $1.5 million, enabling buyers with less than a 20% down payment to consider higher-value properties. These changes will be especially impactful in Canada’s most expensive real estate markets, where average home prices often exceed $1 million.

“Improved lending conditions, combined with declining interest rates, will unlock new housing opportunities for many Canadians in the new year. First-time buyers will be the primary beneficiaries of these initiatives, as their ability to borrow more for less with a smaller down payment will help bring them closer to their first home purchase,” said Soper. “We believe the return of buyers to the market will encourage builders and trigger a wave of new supply, which is very much needed.

“Addressing Canada’s critical housing shortage must remain a top priority for policymakers at every level of government. With our population growing rapidly through both natural increases and immigration, it is essential to stay focused on supporting the development of new homes if we hope to address housing affordability, be it for purchase or rent.”

Shifting Political Landscapes and Potential Housing Impacts

The year 2025 is expected to bring political changes in both Canada and the United States, with potential implications for the housing market. In Canada, a federal election may introduce new housing policies that could temporarily influence market activity in the latter half of the year.

“With an election approaching in Ottawa and a new administration preparing to take office in Washington, the housing market faces potential disruptions. Here at home, a federal election will see new housing policies that may temporarily impact market activity in the second half of 2025,” said Soper. “Meanwhile, south of the border, the incoming Trump administration’s trade policies and broader economic agenda have the potential to create ripple effects for Canada’s economy and housing market. While these impacts may take time to unfold, they could eventually affect consumer confidence and market dynamics on both sides of the border.”

Highlights from the 2025 Forecast

• Greater Montreal Area is expected to lead with aggregate home price growth of 6.5%, outpacing Greater Toronto (5.0%) and Vancouver (4.0%).

• Quebec City is forecasted to see the largest increase among major regions, with an 11.0% rise in aggregate home prices, followed by Edmonton and Regina at 9.0%.

• Calgary, along with Ottawa, Halifax, and Winnipeg, is projected to experience a moderate 4.0% home price increase, following significant appreciation over the last two years.

• The median price of a condominium in the Greater Toronto Area is anticipated to decline by 1.0%, reflecting the addition of thousands of new units to an already surplus supply.