The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 3¼%, with the Bank Rate at 3¾% and the deposit rate at 3¼%. The Bank is continuing its policy of balance sheet normalization.

The global economy is evolving largely as expected in the Bank’s October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). In the United States, the economy continues to show broad-based strength, with robust consumption and a solid labour market. US inflation has been holding steady, with some price pressures persisting. In the euro area, recent indicators point to weaker growth. In China, recent policy actions combined with strong exports are supporting growth, but household spending remains subdued. Global financial conditions have eased and the Canadian dollar has depreciated in the face of broad-based strength in the US dollar.

In Canada, the economy grew by 1% in the third quarter, somewhat below the Bank’s October projection, and the fourth quarter also looks weaker than projected. Third-quarter GDP growth was pulled down by business investment, inventories and exports. In contrast, consumer spending and housing activity both picked up, suggesting lower interest rates are beginning to boost household spending. Historical revisions to the National Accounts have increased the level of GDP over the past three years, largely reflecting higher investment and consumption. The unemployment rate rose to 6.8% in November as employment continued to grow more slowly than the labour force. Wage growth showed some signs of easing, but remains elevated relative to productivity.

A number of policy measures have been announced that will affect the outlook for near-term growth and inflation in Canada. Reductions in targeted immigration levels suggest GDP growth next year will be below the Bank’s October forecast. The effects on inflation will likely be more muted, given that lower immigration dampens both demand and supply. Other federal and provincial policies—including a temporary suspension of the GST on some consumer products, one-time payments to individuals, and changes to mortgage rules—will affect the dynamics of demand and inflation. The Bank will look through effects that are temporary and focus on underlying trends to guide its policy decisions.

In addition, the possibility the incoming US administration will impose new tariffs on Canadian exports to the United States has increased uncertainty and clouded the economic outlook.

CPI inflation has been about 2% since the summer, and is expected to average close to the 2% target over the next couple of years. Since October, the upward pressure on inflation from shelter and the downward pressure from goods prices have both moderated as expected. Looking ahead, the GST holiday will temporarily lower inflation but that will be unwound once the GST break ends. Measures of core inflation will help us assess the trend in CPI inflation.

With inflation around 2%, the economy in excess supply, and recent indicators tilted towards softer growth than projected, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate by a further 50 basis points to support growth and keep inflation close to the middle of the 1-3% target range. Governing Council has reduced the policy rate substantially since June. Going forward, we will be evaluating the need for further reductions in the policy rate one decision at a time. Our decisions will be guided by incoming information and our assessment of the implications for the inflation outlook. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians by keeping inflation close to the 2% target.

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is January 29, 2025.

Source: bankofcanada.ca

Do you often find yourself browsing listings and dreaming about your next move? If so, it’s essential to look beyond listing prices and down payments. Whether you're looking to upgrade or make your first investment, it's crucial to consider various financial aspects before buying a home. Here are some key expenses to factor into your decision:

Utilities

Upgrading to a larger home or one with older, less efficient appliances can significantly impact your utility costs. It's important to estimate these additional expenses accurately. Consider the size of the home, the age and efficiency of the heating, cooling, and water systems, and any additional appliances that might come with the property. Add these estimated costs to your current monthly budget to see how a move might affect your overall spending. Doing this will help you avoid any surprises when your first utility bill arrives after the move.

Mortgage Penalty

Breaking your current mortgage term early might come with a penalty, which is usually around three months' worth of interest. However, this amount can vary depending on your lender and the terms of your mortgage. It's crucial to read the fine print of your mortgage agreement and understand the penalties for early repayment or refinancing. In some cases, negotiating with your lender for a lower penalty or even exploring the possibility of porting your mortgage to the new property might be beneficial. Always consult with your financial advisor to understand the best course of action.

Moving Costs

Moving is never just about transporting your belongings from one place to another. There are numerous additional expenses to consider. If you plan to hire professional movers, get quotes from multiple companies and check for any hidden fees, such as charges for moving large items or extra insurance. If you opt for a DIY move, factor in the cost of renting a moving truck, fuel, and possibly temporary storage. Don’t forget smaller costs like packing materials or even throwing a pizza party to thank friends who help you move. If your schedule allows, consider moving during the off-peak season when costs tend to be lower.

Legal Fees

Hiring a trusted real estate lawyer is essential to ensure that all the legal aspects of your home purchase are handled correctly. Legal fees can vary widely, so it’s important to understand what services are included in the fee structure. These services typically include reviewing the purchase agreement, conducting a title search, handling the transfer of funds, and registering the new property with the local land registry office. Always get a detailed breakdown of the estimated costs and confirm these with your lawyer before you sign any offers. This will help you avoid any unexpected charges at closing.

Additional Considerations

Beyond these primary expenses, there are other costs to consider when buying a home. These might include home inspection fees, property taxes, insurance, and potential renovations or repairs needed immediately after purchase. A thorough home inspection can reveal issues that might not be apparent during a regular viewing and can give you leverage in negotiating the purchase price or requesting repairs before closing.

By carefully considering all these financial aspects, you can make a well-informed decision and ensure that your dream move doesn't turn into a financial nightmare. Planning ahead and budgeting for these expenses will help you transition smoothly into your new home and enjoy it from day one.

Ready to dive deeper into the home-buying process? Visit our latest blog for comprehensive tips and insights to guide you every step of the way. Contact us to ensure you're well-prepared for a successful move by uncovering all potential hidden costs!

The past two years saw 51% of Canadians delaying their home buying plans, responding to the rise in borrowing costs. This surge led to a significant reassessment of intentions among millions of Canadians. Since March 2022, when the Bank of Canada began raising its key lending rate, over a quarter of the adult population (27%) actively participated in the housing market. However, more than half of them (56%) postponed their property search due to escalating interest rates, according to a recent survey by Royal LePage and Leger.

As inflation inches closer to the desired 2% target, expectations are high for the Bank of Canada to make its first cut to the overnight lending rate later this year. This anticipated reduction is poised to bring relief to variable-rate mortgage holders and those who deferred their home buying plans. Among those who delayed their purchase, 51% are ready to resume their search if interest rates drop. Specifically, 10% await a mere 25-basis-point drop, 18% anticipate a cut of 50 to 100 basis points, while 23% seek more than a 100-basis-point reduction before reconsidering their search.

Though 20% of sidelined buyers have abandoned their plans altogether, another 12% are poised to re-enter the market if the Bank of Canada's key lending rate remains steady. Among those aiming to re-enter once rates decrease, 44% prefer a four-year or five-year fixed-rate mortgage, the most favoured mortgage type and term in Canada. This number doubles the respondents intending to opt for a variable-rate mortgage (22%), while another 12% plan to secure a short-term fixed-rate mortgage.

Despite the challenges posed by rising interest rates, 65% of respondents remain actively engaged in the home buying process. This engagement spans from casual browsing of listings (39%) to continuing to save for a down payment (19%), applying for a mortgage pre-approval (12%), or already having obtained one (7%). However, 26% of respondents have temporarily disengaged from the home shopping process.

Ready to make your move in the housing market? Don't let rising interest rates hold you back! Whether you're ready to buy, actively browsing listings, or just considering your options, now is the time to stay informed and prepared. Let's take the next step together!

Imagine scrolling through real estate listings and stumbling upon a dream home in a sought-after neighbourhood. Excitement builds, but there's a catch – the property is listed well above comparable sales in the area. Is it still worth considering? The answer may surprise you.

While a lofty price tag might initially raise eyebrows, there are various reasons why sellers choose to list their homes above market value. One possibility is that the property boasts unique and highly desirable features that justify a premium, such as a spacious backyard, a state-of-the-art kitchen, or a fully finished basement. In these cases, the extra cost might be justified by the added value these features bring to the table.

Another common reason for a high listing price is the seller's belief that aiming high will attract higher-priced offers. While this strategy doesn't always pan out, it highlights the subjective nature of home valuation. In such instances, the property is still worth a closer look, especially if it aligns with most or all of the criteria on your wish list.

The key lies in understanding why a home is priced the way it is. If additional features or amenities drive up the cost, and these align with your priorities, the premium might be justifiable. Perhaps the sprawling garden, the custom-designed kitchen, or the fully renovated bathroom are crucial elements that make the investment worthwhile for you.

On the flip side, what if the inflated price is artificial? If the seller has miscalculated the market or is overly optimistic, chances are the home will eventually sell close to its actual market value. In such cases, if you make an offer reflective of the real value, you might find yourself in a winning position.

The bottom line is that these seemingly overpriced listings are usually worth investigating further. It's essential to schedule that viewing appointment and delve deeper into the intricacies of the property. By doing so, you can assess whether the premium is justified by unique features or if it's a result of an optimistic seller.

Navigating high-priced listings requires a strategic approach. It's about evaluating the property beyond its price tag and understanding the nuances that contribute to its perceived value. So, if you come across a home that seems to break the bank, don't dismiss it outright – it might just be the home of your dreams, waiting to be uncovered.

Ready to explore homes that may surpass your expectations? Schedule those viewings with us, and let the journey to finding your dream home begin! Don't let a seemingly high price deter you; sometimes, the perfect home is just waiting for the right buyer to recognize its true value.

Let’s start your house hunting journey today!