The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 3¼%, with the Bank Rate at 3¾% and the deposit rate at 3¼%. The Bank is continuing its policy of balance sheet normalization.

The global economy is evolving largely as expected in the Bank’s October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). In the United States, the economy continues to show broad-based strength, with robust consumption and a solid labour market. US inflation has been holding steady, with some price pressures persisting. In the euro area, recent indicators point to weaker growth. In China, recent policy actions combined with strong exports are supporting growth, but household spending remains subdued. Global financial conditions have eased and the Canadian dollar has depreciated in the face of broad-based strength in the US dollar.

In Canada, the economy grew by 1% in the third quarter, somewhat below the Bank’s October projection, and the fourth quarter also looks weaker than projected. Third-quarter GDP growth was pulled down by business investment, inventories and exports. In contrast, consumer spending and housing activity both picked up, suggesting lower interest rates are beginning to boost household spending. Historical revisions to the National Accounts have increased the level of GDP over the past three years, largely reflecting higher investment and consumption. The unemployment rate rose to 6.8% in November as employment continued to grow more slowly than the labour force. Wage growth showed some signs of easing, but remains elevated relative to productivity.

A number of policy measures have been announced that will affect the outlook for near-term growth and inflation in Canada. Reductions in targeted immigration levels suggest GDP growth next year will be below the Bank’s October forecast. The effects on inflation will likely be more muted, given that lower immigration dampens both demand and supply. Other federal and provincial policies—including a temporary suspension of the GST on some consumer products, one-time payments to individuals, and changes to mortgage rules—will affect the dynamics of demand and inflation. The Bank will look through effects that are temporary and focus on underlying trends to guide its policy decisions.

In addition, the possibility the incoming US administration will impose new tariffs on Canadian exports to the United States has increased uncertainty and clouded the economic outlook.

CPI inflation has been about 2% since the summer, and is expected to average close to the 2% target over the next couple of years. Since October, the upward pressure on inflation from shelter and the downward pressure from goods prices have both moderated as expected. Looking ahead, the GST holiday will temporarily lower inflation but that will be unwound once the GST break ends. Measures of core inflation will help us assess the trend in CPI inflation.

With inflation around 2%, the economy in excess supply, and recent indicators tilted towards softer growth than projected, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate by a further 50 basis points to support growth and keep inflation close to the middle of the 1-3% target range. Governing Council has reduced the policy rate substantially since June. Going forward, we will be evaluating the need for further reductions in the policy rate one decision at a time. Our decisions will be guided by incoming information and our assessment of the implications for the inflation outlook. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians by keeping inflation close to the 2% target.

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is January 29, 2025.

Source: bankofcanada.ca

As the crisp autumn air transitions into winter, it’s time to embrace the magic of the holiday season. From cozy nights by the fire to the twinkle of festive lights, this is the perfect opportunity to transform your home into a winter wonderland. Whether you’re a fan of traditional holiday aesthetics or prefer a modern twist, the 2024 holiday décor trends offer something for everyone.

1. Muted Luxe

Classic holiday colours take a backseat this year as softer tones like sage green, champagne, dusty rose, and icy blue rise to the forefront. These muted hues, complemented by metallic accents such as brushed gold and antique silver, bring a refined elegance to holiday decorating.

Think velvet stockings, metallic-dusted wreaths, and pale ornaments to create a calming yet festive atmosphere. To add depth, consider contrasting these colours with darker tones such as deep navy or charcoal. The result? A sophisticated holiday setting that’s both stylish and serene.

2. Vintage Nostalgia

For those who love the charm of yesteryear, vintage-inspired décor is making a big comeback. Picture crystal and glass ornaments, retro tinsel garlands, ceramic Christmas trees, and vintage menorahs. These nostalgic elements evoke a timeless warmth that feels like home.

Explore thrift shops, flea markets, or even your family’s attic for heirloom treasures. If you prefer something new, many retailers now offer vintage-inspired collections to achieve the same look. Pair these pieces with candles or warm string lights to create a cosy, retro holiday vibe.

3. Natural Elegance

As sustainability takes centre stage, nature-inspired décor is a key trend this holiday season. Adorn evergreen garlands with dried orange slices, cinnamon sticks, and pinecones for a rustic and festive aesthetic—with the bonus of delightful scents!

On your tree, swap out plastic ornaments for dried fruits, popcorn garlands, or decorations made from wood and paper. Extend this theme to your dining table with fresh greenery, linen napkins, and seasonal fruits as centrepieces. Natural elegance seamlessly combines eco-consciousness with holiday charm.

4. Textured Layers

Layered textures continue to be a hallmark of seasonal styling, offering a cosy and inviting atmosphere. Mix chunky knits with plush velvets, faux furs, and natural materials like woven cotton or linen for a multidimensional look.

Elevate your holiday tablescape with combinations such as cotton tablecloths and rattan placemats, or layer linens with soft runners in contrasting patterns. Add festive touches like felt ornaments, macramé accents, or ribbon details. For living spaces, incorporate seasonal throw pillows, blankets, and decor elements made from glass, wood, and metal for a rich, textured effect.

Bonus Tip: Extend the Cheer Outdoors

Don’t stop with indoor decorations—extend the festive spirit to your outdoor spaces! Add twinkling lights, lanterns, and weather-resistant greenery along banisters, door frames, and window sills. A well-decorated porch or patio sets the tone for holiday cheer, welcoming guests before they even step inside.

Personalize Your Holiday Style

This holiday season, let your décor reflect your personal style and create a space that’s perfect for making memories. From the understated elegance of muted tones to the timeless appeal of vintage elements or the natural beauty of sustainable decor, there’s a trend to suit every taste. With a touch of creativity and a dash of festive spirit, your home can become a joyful centrepiece of the season.

Today, the Bank of Canada lowered its target for the overnight rate to 3.75%, with the Bank Rate set at 4% and the deposit rate at 3.75%. The Bank continues its balance sheet normalization efforts.

Globally, the economy is projected to grow at a steady 3% over the next two years. Growth in the U.S. is anticipated to be stronger than previously expected, while China’s outlook remains cautious. The euro area’s growth has been sluggish but is expected to improve modestly next year. Inflation in advanced economies has decreased recently, aligning with central bank targets. Since July, global financial conditions have eased, partly due to expectations of lower policy interest rates. Additionally, global oil prices are roughly $10 lower than projected in the July Monetary Policy Report (MPR).

In Canada, economic growth was around 2% in the first half of the year, with an anticipated 1.75% growth in the second half. While overall consumption has grown, it has decreased on a per-person basis. Exports have seen a boost from the opening of the Trans Mountain Expansion pipeline. The labor market remains subdued, with the unemployment rate at 6.5% as of September. Population growth continues to expand the labor force, but hiring has been moderate, impacting young people and newcomers the most. Wage growth remains high compared to productivity growth, indicating excess supply in the economy.

Looking ahead, GDP growth is expected to strengthen gradually as lower interest rates support economic activity. A modest increase in consumer spending per capita, along with slower population growth, is expected to drive this recovery. Residential investment is projected to rise, fueled by strong housing demand, while business investment should pick up as overall demand grows. Exports are likely to stay robust, supported by strong U.S. demand.

The Bank forecasts GDP growth of 1.2% in 2024, 2.1% in 2025, and 2.3% in 2026. As the economy gains momentum, the excess supply will gradually be absorbed.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation has dropped notably from 2.7% in June to 1.6% in September. While inflation in shelter costs remains high, it has begun to ease. Excess supply in the broader economy has lowered the prices of many goods and services, and the recent drop in global oil prices has driven down gasoline costs. These factors have collectively brought inflation down. The Bank’s core inflation measures are now below 2.5%. With inflation pressures no longer widespread, expectations from businesses and consumers have largely stabilized.

The Bank anticipates that inflation will hover around its target range throughout the forecast period. The upward pressure from shelter and services costs is expected to diminish, while downward pressures should ease as the economy absorbs the current excess supply.

With inflation nearing the 2% target, the Governing Council has decided to reduce the policy rate by 50 basis points to bolster economic growth and maintain inflation around the mid-point of the 1% to 3% target range. If the economy aligns with the Bank's forecast, additional rate cuts are anticipated. However, the timing and pace of any future reductions will depend on economic data and its implications for inflation. Decisions will be made on a meeting-by-meeting basis. The Bank remains dedicated to maintaining price stability for Canadians, keeping inflation close to the 2% target.

Source: bankofcanada.ca

The Ottawa real estate market showed signs of growth in July 2024, with 1,241 homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB). This represents a 13.6% increase compared to July 2023.

However, home sales were still 7.1% below the five-year average and 8.8% below the 10-year average for July. Despite this, year-to-date sales figures were encouraging, with 8,349 units sold by July 2024, marking a 5.5% increase from the same period in 2023.

The market’s performance is a positive signal amidst the usual summer slowdown, reflecting growing buyer confidence and a steady stream of new listings. Recent policy changes, including interest rate cuts and extended mortgage amortization periods for first-time buyers, could further support the market, though supply challenges remain.

Price Trends

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) provides a detailed view of price trends:

The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price in July 2024 was $648,900, up slightly by 0.1% from July 2023.

Single-family homes had a benchmark price of $734,700, down 0.1% year-over-year.

Townhouse/row units saw a benchmark price of $506,100, an increase of 3.4% compared to last year.

The benchmark price for apartments was $422,800, a decrease of 0.9% from July 2023 levels.

The average price of homes sold in July 2024 stood at $679,610, reflecting a 2.1% decrease from July 2023. The year-to-date average price, however, showed a slight increase of 1.0%, reaching $681,082. The total dollar volume of home sales in July 2024 was $843.3 million, an 11.3% increase from July 2023.

Inventory and New Listings

New residential listings in July 2024 increased by 17.1% from the previous year, totaling 2,231 new listings. Active residential listings at the end of July 2024 numbered 3,480 units, a substantial 37.0% increase from July 2023. The months of inventory, which indicates how long it would take to sell current listings at the current sales pace, rose to 2.8 months, up from 2.3 months in July 2023.

These statistics reflect a market that is gaining momentum, with increasing buyer activity and a growing inventory, although challenges around supply and affordability persist.

Source: Ottawa Real Estate Board

More than half of Canadian mortgages are set to renew before the end of 2026. With the Bank of Canada reducing its key interest rate from 5.0% to 4.75% on June 5th, many homeowners are now contemplating whether to choose a fixed or variable rate upon renewal. Understanding the available options and anticipating changes is crucial to effectively managing today's dynamic mortgage landscape.

Current Situation

During the pandemic real estate boom, variable rates were historically lower, but this trend has reversed recently. Currently, the average five-year variable interest rate offered by mortgage lenders is around 6.7%, while fixed rates are typically at 5.6%. Variable mortgage rates depend on various economic factors, including the key overnight lending rate set by the Bank of Canada. Although the central bank recently cut its key rate for the first time in four years, it could change course if inflation rises in the coming months. Economists expect further cuts by the end of 2024, continuing into 2025 unless economic conditions shift significantly. Despite declining rates, the historically low rates of the past two decades are no longer expected.

Considerations for Variable Rates

For variable-rate mortgages, an increase in the prime rate, influenced by the Bank of Canada's overnight lending rate, leads to higher mortgage payments. However, variable loans with fixed-payment options keep monthly payments unchanged, adjusting the mortgage amortization period instead. This results in a smaller proportion of each payment going towards repaying the principal.

Understanding Your Needs

Choosing between a fixed- and variable-rate mortgage depends largely on the borrower's risk tolerance and personal situation. Variable rates fluctuate, so consider if your lifestyle can accommodate these changes. Even if interest rates begin to fall, numerous economic factors influence their direction throughout your mortgage term. The right mortgage product depends on your short- and medium-term situation. If you're in a period of transition (career change, separation, etc.), a fixed rate might offer more stability.

Strategic Options for Borrowers

• Fixed-Rate Mortgage with a Shorter Term: Amid economic uncertainty, many borrowers are opting for shorter-term fixed-rate mortgages (one, two, or three years). This approach allows borrowers to lock in predictable monthly payments without committing to the same rate long-term.
• Hybrid-Rate Mortgage: This option combines features of both variable and fixed rates — part of the mortgage has a fixed interest rate, and the other has a variable rate. This allows borrowers to benefit from both stability and potential rate decreases.
• Convertible Mortgage: This loan allows borrowers to convert a variable interest rate into a fixed-rate mortgage, or vice versa, before maturity. This flexibility helps adapt mortgage strategies to changing market conditions.

Consult a Professional

Ready to navigate your mortgage renewal with confidence? Contact us today! We can connect you with one of our trusted and experienced mortgage professionals who are ready to help you explore your options and find the best solution tailored to your needs. Whether you're considering a fixed or variable rate, they will provide personalized guidance to ensure you make an informed decision. 

Source: CBD

Early signs of a vibrant spring real estate market are evident in Ottawa's MLS® data. In March 2024, the Ottawa Real Estate Board recorded 1,165 home sales, marking a 10% increase from the same period last year. However, despite this surge, sales remained 21.5% below the five-year average and 15% below the ten-year average for March.

Year-to-date figures also depict a positive trend, with 2,678 homes sold in the first three months of 2024, reflecting a 13.1% increase from the corresponding period in 2023. Curtis Fillier, President of OREB, highlights the overall health of Ottawa's real estate market, anticipating an active spring and summer. Fillier notes the growing confidence among sellers, as indicated by the rise in new and active listings, coupled with increased showing activity. However, he observes a cautious approach from buyers, likely due to concerns regarding affordability and limited supply.

Fillier suggests a shift is imminent in the market dynamics, driven by post-pandemic adjustments in housing needs. This includes trends such as downsizing, urban migration, and seeking properties better suited to evolving requirements. Consequently, there's mounting pressure on the mid-range property market in Ottawa, which traditionally faces tight inventory levels. Fillier advises both buyers and sellers not to delay their decisions in this evolving market landscape.

In terms of pricing, the MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) reveals consistent growth. The composite benchmark price reached $636,700 in March 2024, reflecting a 2.7% increase year-over-year. Single-family homes saw a benchmark price rise of 2.6%, reaching $719,000, while townhouse/row units and apartments experienced modest gains as well.

The average price of homes sold in March 2024 was $682,078, up 5.1% from the previous year, with the year-to-date average price showing a 3.2% increase. Overall, the dollar volume of home sales in March 2024 surged by 15.6% compared to the same month in 2023.

In terms of inventory and new listings, March 2024 witnessed a 13.5% increase in new residential listings compared to March 2023, totalling 2,074 new listings. However, this figure remained slightly below the five-year average and significantly lower than the ten-year average for March. Active residential listings also rose by 18.3% year-over-year, with 2,543 units on the market by the end of March 2024. Despite this increase, months of inventory only saw a slight uptick, indicating a persistent imbalance between supply and demand in the Ottawa real estate market.

Take Charge of Your Real Estate Journey Today!

Whether you're looking to buy or sell in Ottawa's dynamic market, now is the time to act. Don't wait on the sidelines as opportunities unfold and market conditions evolve. Reach out and we can guide you through every step of the process. Seize the moment and make your move in Ottawa's buzzing real estate scene!

Ready to elevate the appeal of your home's bathrooms and leave a lasting impression on potential buyers? Take action now by implementing these affordable DIY tips! With just a bit of time and creativity, you can transform your bathrooms into spaces that will captivate buyers and enhance the overall value of your property.

To enhance the appeal of your bathrooms and leave a lasting impression on potential buyers, consider implementing the following affordable DIY tips:

Modern Hardware: Start by updating the cabinet knobs, drawer pulls, and faucets. Opt for sleek metallic finishes like brushed nickel or matte black for a contemporary look. These upgrades are relatively easy to install and instantly modernize the space.

Mirrors: If your bathroom mirror is plain or showing signs of wear, consider framing it. A simple wooden frame that you can stain or paint adds character and completes the aesthetic.

Grout and Caulking Touch-ups: Address any discolored grout or peeling caulking around the tub and sink areas. Cleaning the grout and re-caulking where needed will give the bathroom a well-maintained and fresh appearance.

Revive Lighting: Adequate lighting is crucial in a bathroom. Replace outdated fixtures with modern alternatives. If rewiring seems daunting, simply swapping old bulbs for bright, energy-efficient ones can create a welcoming ambiance.

Shower Curtain and Mats: Invest in new shower curtains and bathmats to replace worn-out ones. Choose light-colored or clear shower curtains to enhance the feeling of space. Fresh mats in neutral tones can tie the room together.

Accessorize Thoughtfully: Pay attention to details by adding new soap dishes, toothbrush holders, or stylish trays for toiletries. Display fresh, white towels neatly folded or incorporate a couple of decorative items like potted plants to elevate the overall look without overwhelming the space.

By implementing these small yet impactful changes, you can significantly enhance the appeal of your bathrooms without breaking the bank. Investing a bit of time and creativity into these DIY projects will transform your bathrooms into spaces that potential buyers will surely notice and appreciate.

Don't wait – start sprucing up your bathrooms today and get one step closer to selling your home with confidence!

Selling a property quickly without compromising on price requires strategic planning and execution. Here's an expanded explanation of each point:

1. Make your property move-in ready: Address any necessary repairs and maintenance issues to ensure your home is in top condition. This includes fixing leaky faucets, repairing damaged walls, and attending to any other visible flaws. A well-maintained property gives potential buyers confidence and reduces the likelihood of negotiations over repair costs.

2. Hire professional help: Consider hiring professionals such as cleaners, stagers, or home improvement contractors to enhance the appeal of your property. While this incurs an initial cost, it can significantly expedite the selling process and potentially increase your home's market value. These experts can showcase your property in its best light, attracting more interested buyers.

3. Utilize staging techniques: Staging involves arranging furniture, decor, and accessories in a way that highlights the property's best features and maximizes its appeal to potential buyers. Professional stagers have the expertise to create inviting spaces that resonate with a wide range of buyers, making it easier to sell your home quickly and at a desirable price.

4. Remove sale impediments: Be open to considering offers with conditions, such as contingencies for inspections or financing. Flexibility regarding closing dates can also attract more buyers, especially those with specific timelines or circumstances. By accommodating various buyer needs, you increase the likelihood of receiving offers sooner rather than later.

5. Accommodate viewings: Make your home accessible for viewing appointments, particularly during the initial stages of listing. While it may be inconvenient, accommodating potential buyers' schedules demonstrates your commitment to selling and increases exposure to your property. The more buyers who see your home, the greater the chance of receiving a quick offer.

6. Effective marketing: Utilize various marketing channels to attract qualified buyers quickly. This includes professional photography, virtual tours, online listings, and social media promotion. Highlight the unique selling points of your property and emphasize its value proposition to capture the interest of potential buyers in a competitive market.

By implementing these strategies and potentially exploring other techniques tailored to your specific circumstances and market conditions, you can expedite the sale of your property while still achieving a favourable sale price. Effective preparation, presentation, and marketing are key to a successful and swift real estate transaction.